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DENVER BRONCOS

Who should a Broncos fan root for this weekend?

All three games on Saturday have relevance for the Broncos fan who seeks clarity from the muddled AFC playoff picture.

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DETROIT — Saturday brings a perfect tripleheader for the Broncos fan … because all three games have relevance, and the stakes increase with the passage of the day.

Obviously, the Broncos’ game at Ford Field against the 9-4 Detroit Lions carries the most weight. Independent of other results, a win takes the Broncos’ playoff chances to 68 percent, according to The New York Timesplayoff simulator. Those odds drop to 31 percent with a defeat.

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But how do other games affect the Broncos?

According to the NYT, the Broncos’ baseline playoff chances sit at 42 percent heading into Saturday.

MINNESOTA (7-6) AT CINCINNATI (7-6)

Saturday, 11 a.m. MST

This one is obvious, given that the Vikings and Bengals sit in opposite conferences. A Vikings win increases the Broncos’ chances to 48 percent; a Cincinnati triumph drops them to 36 percent.

PREFERRED WINNER: Minnesota

PITTSBURGH (7-6) AT INDIANAPOLIS (7-6)

Saturday, 2:30 p.m. MST

Here, it gets tricky. Both teams have conference-record tiebreaker edges on the Broncos. A Steelers win increases the Broncos’ odds to 45 percent; a Colts win moves Denver to 43 percent.

PREFERRED WINNER: Pittsburgh (but barely)

CHICAGO (5-8) at CLEVELAND (8-5)

Sunday, 11 a.m. MST

PREFERRED WINNER: Chicago

HOUSTON (7-6) AT TENNESSEE (5-8)

Sunday, 11 a.m. MST

PREFERRED WINNER: Tennessee

KANSAS CITY (8-5) AT NEW ENGLAND (3-10)

Sunday, 11 a.m. MST

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PREFERRED WINNER: New England

DALLAS (10-3) AT BUFFALO (7-6)

Sunday, 2:25 p.m. MST

PREFERRED WINNER: Dallas

BALTIMORE (10-3) AT JACKSONVILLE (8-5)

Sunday, 6:20 p.m. MST

PREFERRED WINNER: Baltimore

Denver gets a slight bump from a Ravens win over the AFC South leaders.

Andrew Mason Senior Broncos Writer

Andrew Mason is the Senior Broncos Writer for denversports.com. Mase is in his 28th season covering the NFL and his 23rd on the Broncos beat. In addition to 12 seasons working with the Broncos and two working with the Carolina Panthers, Mase has also… Read more

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